The final day of The Lima Major 2023 Dota 2 tournament will take place on March 5. In the first match, the second finalist will be determined, who will compete with Gaimin Gladiators. Team Liquid and Talon Esports will compete for a place in the grand final. Analysts of the betting company PARI consider the team from Southeast Asia to be the favorite of this meeting. The best-of-3 match starts at 19:00 Moscow time. Throughout the championship, Team Liquid was considered the main contender for the trophy.
However, two days before the grand final, the "four" of the Boxi team fell ill and was forced to leave the major. Without its main support, Liquid could not cope with Gladiators in the upper grid match. Instead of Boxi, Liquid is now played by an analyst of the team, who has no experience on the shooting gallery-1 stage. With the replacement, Liquid showed a weak game and could not even impose a fight on Gladiators, losing with a score of 0:2. Therefore, in the match against Talon, experts consider Liquid an outsider and give a coefficient of 2.45 for her victory. The probability that Liquid will be able to take at least one card from an opponent, according to analysts, is noticeably higher — the coefficient is 1.47.
Talon, on the contrary, was considered an outsider before the start of the championship. Analysts believed that the team would not even be able to leave the group. However, Talon has repeatedly surprised rivals with unusual strategies and first-class play of its mider Mikoto. During the playoffs, Talon sent home HellRaisers, Team Spirit, Entity Gaming and Shopify Rebellion. The probability that a team from South-East Asia will win Liquid and go to the grand final is estimated at a coefficient of 1.55. Talon is given 2.50 for a "dry" victory.PARI clients bet on Liquid — about 73% of the total volume of bets on the outcome of the meeting falls on this team, while about 27% is made on Talon.
Talon is the most active major team, which on average makes the most frags per card. Therefore, you can take a closer look at the bet on Talon on the first card with a handicap (-9.5) for 2.08. In the previous match, the roster from Southeast Asia won the cards with a score of 38:9 and 50:13, respectively. In addition, Team Liquid never gives up ahead of time and tries to play to the end. You can also take a closer look at the bet on Rampage on the first card (five kills performed by one player in a short period of time) — analysts give a coefficient of 9.50 for such an outcome.
The largest bet among PARI's clients for the upcoming match is 470,000 rubles to win Liquid at a coefficient of 2.70.
The Lima Major 2023 takes place in Peru from February 22 to March 5. The team that loses in this match will take third place and will receive $75 thousand and 300 DPC points. The winner of the meeting will advance to the grand final, which will be held on the same day in the best-of-5 format.
Liquid
